The John Sargent trained filly Kirramosa (NZ) is the market favourite for the $1m, Group 1 Crown Oaks (2500m) at Flemington on Thursday at $3.10, in from $3.30 earlier in the day, with Betstar.com.au with market opinion in the Alamosa filly’s favour after her impressive win in the Group 2 Wakeful Stakes over 2000m at Flemington on Saturday.
Guy Walter’s Bernardini filly Zanbagh is the second favourite at $4.40 coming off two wins in succession at Benchmark level and despite not having raced in black type company before, while Darren Weir’s New Approach filly May’s Dream is at $5.00 after her second to Kirramosa in the Wakeful Stakes.
“Kirramosa well deserves favouritism after an impressive run in the Wakeful and I expect the big money will come for her on race day,” said Betstar’s Alan Eskander on Wednesday.
“Sargent has slowly taken her through the grades in her first Australian preparation. Two starts back she was a good thing beaten over a mile at Randwick in weaker grade.
“On Saturday she was put to the test taking on the better fillies in the Wakeful and was simply outstanding. She came from last and rounded them up easily, dinting some reputations in the process. It is very hard to see anything that ran behind her in the Wakeful turning the tables on her here. She is the one to beat.
“A week ago May’s Dream was the favourite for the Oaks after an outstanding second to Guelph in the Thousand Guineas, but she has had her colours lowered since then by Kirramosa. The punters have gone cold on her over the last 48 to 72 hours but I would not be surprised to see her bounce back,” he said.
Hugh Bowman, who rides Arabian Gold, commented that the Wakeful was run for a back runner to swoop which the winner Kirramosa (NZ) did very successfully
“She is a deserved favourite and if it is run in that sort of manner again she will be very hard to beat,” he said.
Gypsy Diamond and James McDonald winning the Group 2 Fillies Classic (1600m) at Moonee Valley, picture Sportpix.com.au
The defining task with the Oaks is sorting which fillies are able to stay the distance with the 2500m at Flemington a very stiff task for young fillies so early in their careers.
Randwick’s John O’Shea is not sure about the ability of his filly Gypsy Diamond to stay the distance, but he is sure about one crucial aspect of the filly, the mighty sire Zabeel’s influence.
“When you looked in the Enclosure on Saturday a lot of the fillies in the Wakeful were there under sufferance and I can guarantee that my filly is on an upward spiral,” said O’Shea.
“I do not know about the pedigree, if I said that a Not A Single Doubt filly is going to run a mile and a half (2400m) you would probably query that, and I do have a query on her running a strong mile and a half, but she has that wonderful thing of being out of a Zabeel mare and that absolves a lot of sins.
“She has a wonderful New Zealand pedigree, she looks like a Zabeel filly and if she runs the trip she will be very hard to beat,” he said.
Gypsy Diamond won the Group 2 Fillies Classic over 1600m at Moonee Valley on October 25th and she was fifth in the Wakeful Stakes beaten just over 2L, but giving 2.5kg in weight to the winner.
“We were definitely not out there to break any records, she got beaten 2L, she drops 1kg, blinkers go back on, she has thrived since the Wakeful and I am very happy with her,” he said of the Wakeful run.
“She had the blinkers on at the Valley and I just took them off to make sure she relaxed and was genuine at the trip.
“If anything she probably relaxed too much without them so she was a little but flat footed at the top of the straight. The blinkers will go back on and they will just help her stay in contact and when James asks her to go she should accelerate like she did at the Valley.
“I am happy with her, she is fit, her run was indicative of a filly who was going to improve going into the Oaks and she has done that. She has done so well from the Wakeful on Saturday I had to do some work with her on Tuesday because she was jumping out of her skin. She is a very tough resilient filly,” he said
Gypsy Diamond is the well tried and proven Danehill/Sir Tristram cross with Not A Single Doubt a son of Redoute’s Choice (Danehill) while she is out of the Zabeel (Sir Tristram) mare Gypsy Tucker.
She presents good odds at $8.50 with the unknown ability of pedigrees of all the fillies to allow them to stay the 2500m just as much with the current favourite as with any in the field of 10.
The latest Crown Oaks market with Betstar.com.au as at 4.00pm Wednesday: